43 – Amanda Bailey and the Three Cars: When the Incident Actually Began

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Of all the witnesses who gave testimony, only Amanda Bailey can give us a key into unlocking the revelation of the nature of the events that she saw. This is because of how we can see her in the scene in the video evidence and it is because she described what happened to her after leaving the scene. Because of this we can tie her appearance in the video to a definite time authenticated by official time stamps. The Victoria Tavern CCTV had the wrong timestamp on it, which was rather unhelpful, but nevertheless admissible in court because there was no doubts raised about the authenticity of the defendants’ role in the attack; it was real, that was all there was to it, and the timestamp in the CCTV was just assumed to be representative of the correct time. Of course, that meant that there was no way to verify the time of the attack.

However, there is a timestamp in other CCTV footage shown to the court of a party of school children being led by their adult supervisors up the mud path across the green towards Rectory Place having evidently just crossed the pedestrian crossing from the other side of John Wilson Street. They had been, evidently[1], on a trip to the town’s library – and it appears that media came away from court with the idea that they had been “turned back” for their own safety by concerned bystanders. The MailOnline captioned the video of the children thusly:

Children: Schoolchildren near the scene of the murder were shepherded away.

Dramatic final seconds of Lee Rigby’s life: Jury sees video showing moment before he was mown down in car and hacked to death ‘like a piece of meat being butchered’[2]; Chris Greenwood et al; 29 November 2013.

This is garbage quite frankly and again illustrates the effort to create hysteria. It’s quite possible that the children would have taken that short cut in any case rather than go up Artillery Place. In any case,

Amanda Bailey told of how, when she got into John Wilson Street, she warned a party of school children.

After what “felt like a lifetime” she drove into John Wilson Street where she stopped to warn a group of schoolchildren away from the area, jurors were told.

Lee Rigby murder trial recap: Michael Adebolajo and Michael Adebowale accused of Woolwich soldier murder[3]; Paul Cockerton; 29 November 2013.

Fig.  222 – Car 1; pulls off from Artillery Place stop line at 13:28:40.
Fig. 222 – Car 1; pulls off from Artillery Place stop line at 13:28:40.

Fig.  223 – Car 2; pulls off from middle of junction at 13:28:43.
Fig. 223 – Car 2; pulls off from middle of junction at 13:28:43.

Fig.  224 – Car 3; pulls off from Artillery Place stop line at 13:28:48.
Fig. 224 – Car 3; pulls off from Artillery Place stop line at 13:28:48.

The children shown in the footage walking away from the junction must the same group that Bailey came across – and this, combined mainly with the dual stories about how she actually approached the scene of the crime – is why she has provoked being labelled a liar outright. It’s all to do with the timestamp on the footage with children in it: 14:21:32. If the attack happened at a time between 14:20 and 14:21, then can we be sure that it was possible for Amanda Bailey get to John Wilson Street in time to meet these kids? In fact, the video footage shows that Bailey’s account is indeed possible, and furthermore, in conjunction with Bailey’s account, it reveals the real commencement time of the incident.

Fig.  225 – the Mulgrave Primary school children on their way back from the library – the 3 cars in question are heading north up John Wilson Street.
Fig. 225 – the Mulgrave Primary school children on their way back from the library – the 3 cars in question are heading north up John Wilson Street.

The demonstration centres around the progress of 3 cars that are seen in the CCTV footage turning into John Wilson North. These are the 3 cars which are seen travelling up that road past the children as they make their way up the mud path across the green. Car number 1 is a blue hatchback that joins a queue at the traffic lights in Artillery Place before it turns into John Wilson. This car starts moving again at 13:28:33, but hits the Artillery Place stop line at 13:28:40. Car 2 is a black saloon that pulls out of Wellington Street and has to wait for the traffic coming across the junction before it can pull into John Wilson – it does this at 13:28:43. Car 3 is another hatchback – a black one this time – is coming into the scope of the Victoria Tavern CCTV as the traffic lights have changed. As a result it doesn’t need to alter its speed, and it continues down Artillery Place apace – hitting the stop line about 14:28:48 – before joining the others in John Wilson Street. Please note that these three cars are the only vehicles that take this direction in this phase of traffic.

Fig.  226 – the positions of the cars at 14:21:31.09
Fig. 226 – the positions of the cars at 14:21:31.09

After having identified when these cars leave Artillery Place/Wellington Street, the next thing to do is identify them and their positions in John Wilson Street North. The car furthest up is reckoned to be Car 2, followed by Car 1, with Car 3 behind it. For each the distance travelled from their start positions to their end positions (relative to point D) must be reckoned, and the author has reckoned them as follows:

Car 1: Start position (A) to End position (D) + displacement of 52 ft = 194 ft total distance travelled.
Car 2: Start position (B) to End position (D) + displacement of 92 ft = 197 ft
Car 3: Start position (A) to End position (D) = 142 ft.

Note, the End positions are deemed to be those when the time stamp shows 14:21:31.09.

The following dimensions are between landmarks that are specified graphically in the diagram in Fig.227.

Fig.  227 – a simple representation of the junction.
Fig. 227 – a simple representation of the junction.

From Artillery Place stop line (A) to centre of Junction (B)       80 ft
From Artillery Place stop line (A), rounding corner to line (C) 133 ft
Line (C) to line (D)                                                                           9 ft
From line (C), exit in John Wilson North to (B)                           95 ft
From crossing line (D), exit in John Wilson North to (B)          105 ft
From John Wilson South stop line (E), to (B)                             85 ft
From Wellington Place stop line (F), to (B)                                 83 ft
From (D) to mud path (G)                                                                30 ft
From John Wilson North stop line (H), to (B)                              97 ft

The calculations for each car are as follows:

Car 1

From the film of traffic going up John Wilson Street, we can work out Car 1s average velocity as it travels away from the camera. Its position to the reservation lines in the road can be judged at its position where we will record its final velocity – very near the end of the third line. According to the footage this car travelled approximately 19 feet (5.8m) to that point from the end of the 2nd line in roughly 0.8 seconds, meaning that at its end position, Car 1 had travelled at an average speed of 7.25 m/s – or 16 mph, which is surprisingly slow, but this is what we are going to use this as a final velocity.

For the initial velocity, Car 1 clearly did not start from stationary at point A; it took 7 seconds to travel about 20 metres; average speed, very roughly then, was 2.86m/s or 6 mph.

Shop Footage time at start position: 13:28:40 (this is the time it pulls off from the lights)
Initial velocity: 2.86 m/s
Final velocity: 7.25 m/s
Distance: 194 feet or 59.13 m

Finding a, acceleration = v²-u²/2s; a = 0.375 m/s². We should perhaps expect a low average rate of acceleration because this car had spent most of the journey rounding the bend of a junction.

The time taken to get to end position: t=v-u/a = 4.39/0.375 = 11.71s
So now we have a relationship between the two sets of CCTV footage. At 14:21:31.09 in the John Wilson footage timestamp, Car 1 is 11.71 seconds away from its starting position as shown in the Victoria Tavern footage. So the time for the end positions for each car according to the Victoria Tavern footage is 13:28:52.

Car 2

Time at start position: 13:28:43
Time at end position: 13:28:52
Time: 9 s
Initial velocity: 0 m/s
Final velocity: ?
Distance: 197 feet or 60.046 m

Using a=s(s-ut)/t²,  a = 1.48

Using v=u+at; final velocity = 13.32 m/s, or 30 mph.

Car 3

From the lamppost in Artillery Place, to the stop line at point A, 31.7 m, Car 3 takes 3 to 4 seconds. Therefore we can say it is travelling at initial speed at A of 9.055 m/s.

Time at start position: 13:28:48
Time at end position: 13:28:52
Time: 4 s
Initial velocity: 17.72 mph – or 7.923 m/s
Final velocity: ?
Distance: 142 feet or 43.282 m

Using a=s(s-ut)/t², a = 1.448.

Using v=u+at, final velocity = 13.715 m/s, or 31 mph.

All of these figures are quite reasonable. It entirely feasible that the three cars identified in Artillery Place and Wellington Street are were able to reach the positions in John Wilson as stated. Car 1 was slow through the bend in the junction, while Car 2 hit the accelerator early on – easier to do because of its near-enough straight-on orientation into John Wilson Street. Car 3 didn’t have to slow down for the lights, and kept a high average rate of acceleration allowing it to get much nearer to Car 1.

It means that we can link 13:28:40 + 11.71 seconds to 14:21:31.09; in other words, we can say that roughly, 13:28:51 in the Victoria Tavern footage is equivalent to 14:21:31 in the John Wilson Footage. It means that if Bailey pulled out of shot into John Wilson Street at 13:26:54 in the Victoria Tavern footage, the real time, according to the John Wilson timestamp, was 14:19:34. As the John Wilson footage actually starts with a timestamp of 14:21:27, Bailey was actually pulling out of Artillery Place 1 minute and 53 seconds before the John Wilson footage even starts. She would have been long gone by the time we see the children navigating the footpath over the green. Now the question would no longer be did Amanda Bailey get to John Wilson Street in time to meet the children, it would be was she actually too early?

Fig.  228 – the yellow beams are potential Wilder’s eye views – how he could see the children approach along a route demarked by the lack line.
Fig. 228 – the yellow beams are potential Wilder’s eye views – how he could see the children approach along a route denoted by the lack line.

The most significant ramification is that we can now link the attack to a real time. 13:26:01 (in fact, it was more like 13:26:00.06) was the time when the Tigra hit Rigby according to the timestamp in the Shop Footage, by our reckoning. In real time, this was 14:18:41. The attack happened several minutes before the official narrative said it did. This new time now explains why Graham Wilders would have had time to park his car, walk up Rectory Place, and then return to his gate in time to see the children being trooped back to school.

Another version of Wilders’ eye-witness accounts gives us a more precise idea about where Wilders was when he saw the children walking to school. (This is the interview extracts of which look to have featured in a MailOnline article).

[After a gun had been produced]  I pulled back towards my back gate and as I pulled back towards my back gate, there’s like an alleyway in between the flats and that and then a bunch of schoolkids come up.

We think we know that Wilders bumped in James Heneghan just after 13:26:40 – Shop Footage time. This means that Wilders actually encountered Heneghan at 14:19:20. According to the CCTV footage of John Wilson Street, the children would be back at school by 14:22:30 – at a good guess they would have covered the distance in a minute. So, Wilders was feasibly well within the time scale to have seen these children.

In fact, there is a fascinating entry in the Newsshopper live update for 6.31pm on the day:

FATHER of four Graham Wilders, 50, saw what he thought was a car crash while driving home to Charles Grinling Walk at 2.19pm.

Mr Wilders, who had a son at school nearby, said he saw a crashed car and someone was shouting to call the police or ambulance.

He said: “It looked like it crashed. We drove home and parked in my garage but we were just going towards where the accident was and the next minute the geezer in the little silver car and the lorry, the black geezer pulled the hand gun out – waving it about.”

Woolwich terrorist attack as it happened: Soldier dead and two suspects injured[4]; Staff Writer; 22 May 2013.

Again, Wilders never seems to be very coherent, but apart from the astounding mention of the time, notice the conflation of the driver of the silver car and the lorry.

Furthermore, there was a very interesting article in the Daily Mail which featured an interview with Aimee West – Lee Rigby’s apparent fiancé. This was the first time that the nation would have a chance to hear her response.

At 1.30pm, just as Lee was leaving the Tower of London for Woolwich, where Adebolajo and Adebowale were lying in wait, he emailed Aimee: ‘I’m on my way home now princess, so we can have a decent chat tonight. I’m really looking forward to it. Love you xxxx.’

Then, at 1.50pm Lee wrote, in what would be his last email: ‘Talk soon, love you. xxxx’.

Fewer than 30 minutes later, at 2.18pm, he was run down by the killers’ car. By 2.21pm, he had been stabbed and hacked multiple times and his corpse dragged into the centre of the road.

When the news made it to Afghanistan, Aimee was besides herself. The TV images of Lee’s mutilated body were all too clear. ‘I panicked and I was crying hysterically,’ she recalls.

Agony of Lee Rigby’s fiancée: Wife-to-be speaks for first time of frantic calls to soldier as he lay dying in the street – and the horrific moment she knew it was him as she watched TV[5]; Nick Craven et al; 21 December 2013.

Notice – this article categorically states that the attack took place at 2.18pm. The real time of the attack slipped out under the radar.

Fig.  229 – Rigby walking along Wellington Street.
Fig. 229 – Rigby walking along Wellington Street.

In what turns out to be a nice segue, the article extract talks about Rigby’s returning into Woolwich from central London, and this journey provides other data that reaffirms the 2.18pm attack time. For Rigby is seen in CCTV footage passing a council building in Woolwich as he walks up Wellington Street We can work out how fast Lee Rigby walked, as an average, by timing his strides across the face of the building and also as he covers the distance up Artillery Place in the Victoria Tavern footage. The former shows that he took 2 strides per second; and an average stride for a male adult is 2.5 feet. According to the latter video, Rigby walked at about 4.6 feet per second, which is in the same ball park.

Fig.  230 – distance between end of library steps and Rigby’s approximate starting position in the Shop Footage.
Fig. 230 – distance between end of library steps and Rigby’s approximate starting position in the Shop Footage (as always, click to enlarge).

If Rigby was imaged having passed the steps of the council building at 14:16:13.05, then it means that Lee Rigby walked the 460 feet up to the junction of Wellington Street and Rectory Place in 100 seconds, and arrived at approximately 14:17:53. According to the author’s observations of the CCTV, the traffic lights were green at 14:17:42 for traffic moving to and from Rectory Place and Wellington Street – this means that traffic across John Wilson Street had stopped for red lights – indeed, as Rigby comes around the bend in the footage to walk into Artillery Place, the lights are visibly green. It means that Rigby had an easier time crossing John Wilson than he might have done. And because Rigby can be seen coming around that bend, it indicates that he used the pedestrian crossings. The distance required to navigate these crossings has been reckoned at 108 feet – taking 23 seconds – meaning Rigby would have got to his start position – i.e. the place where we first see him in the Shop Footage – at 14:18:16 (equivalent to 13:25:36 on the Victoria Tavern CCTV timestamp). The opening timestamp on the Shop Footage is 13:25:36.

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[1] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2515493/Soldier-Lee-Rigby-murdered-mutilated-decapitated-Woolwich-attack-court-hears.html

[2] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2515700/Lee-Rigby-Woolwich-murder-trial-CCTV-footage-shows-split-second-soldier-hit.html

[3] http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/woolwich-trial-live-lee-rigby-2863956

[4] http://www.newsshopper.co.uk/news/10436107.Police_called_to_Woolwich__shooting____live_updates/?action=complain&cid=11635818

[5] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2527710/Fiancee-tells-frantic-call-Lee-Rigby-lay-dying-street-Murdered-soldiers-wife-speaks-time-unending-pain-horrific-moment-knew-watched-TV.html